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Tangle News' founder Isaac Saul discusses the final polls, what he is looking for, and his 2020 electoral college and the Senate race predictions.
Subscribe to Tangle: https://tangle.substack.com/about
:00 - 14:53
Introduction, hellos and what the last batch of polls are telling us.
14:53 - 20:28
The early vote and what we can take away from the numbers so far. Plus, the data in there that’s sticking out to me.
20:28-27:20
What I’ll be watching tonight as the results come in: the red and blue mirages, the Florida county that could be the earliest indication of who will win.
27:20 - 38:01
Florida, the best political advertisement of the week, and how Trump can pull off another upset this year.
38:02 - 48:10
The court battles, voter suppression, counting the ballots and the known unknowns.
48:10 -54:25
My mom’s rejected ballot in Pennsylvania, my prediction in Pennsylvania, and why my home state feels uniquely positioned to defy the data.
54:25 - 1:01:23
My electoral college prediction, my hot take about Joe Biden’s path to victory and how this election could change the way we think about the electoral college map in the United States.
1:01:24 - 1:13:53
The Senate races. Who will end with the majority and what’s going to happen in Arizona, Colorado, Alabama, Georgia, Iowa, Maine, Montana, North Carolina, South Carolina and Texas.
1:13:53 - 1:19:20
What to expect on election a day and in the days that follow (note: we’re going to need to be patient). A closing message about the dangerous stuff that’s going to pop up in the next 72 hours, and how to be a responsible citizen along the way. Plus, some thank you’s.
1:19:20 - 1:20:50
Thank you!
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